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Thunder vs. Nuggets odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA playoff matchup on May 15, 2025

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past six seasons, has locked in its best bets for Game 6 of the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Thursday

ByUpdated: May 15, 2025 4:35PM UTC . 2 min read

The Oklahoma City Thunder will look to close out the Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of their Western Conference semifinal series on Thursday. OKC prevailed 112-105 in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead. The Thunder (68-14), who are looking to reach the conference finals for the first time since 2015-2016, are 35-9 on the road this season, including playoffs. The Nuggets (50-32), who won the NBA title in 2022-23, are 30-17 on their home court.

Tip-off from Ball Arena in Denver is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Nuggets odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 217.5. The Thunder are -182 on the money line (risk $182 to win $100), while the Nuggets are +152 (risk $100 to win $152).

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Before making any Thunder vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is hitting in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Thunder vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 159-117 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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Daniel Kohn

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